![]() Marc Finn and Andres Waters contributed research. Statistical models by Nate Silver, Jay Boice, Neil Paine, Ryan Best and Holly Fuong. The Heat and the Atlanta Hawks have played 134 games in the regular season with 76 victories for the Heat and 58 for the Hawks. Miami beat the brakes off of Atlanta 115-91 Sunday in Game 1, outscoring the Hawks in each of the first three quarters and the Heat’s biggest lead was 32 points. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of The NBA.ĭesign and development by Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Heat odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets. ![]() Quality is determined by the harmonic mean of the teams’ Elo ratings importance measures how much the result will alter playoff projections the overall number is the average of the quality and importance values.ĭownload data. Get real-time NBA basketball coverage and scores as Atlanta Hawks takes on Miami Heat. Following a loss, Miami is 18-10-1 ATS (64.3), the third-best record in the NBA. Elo ratings - which power the pure Elo forecast - are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. Few teams have bounced back better after a loss than Miami this season. A team’s current rating reflects any injuries and rest days in effect at the moment of the team's next game. Butler scores 45, Heat defeat Hawks 115-105 for 2-0 lead. A team’s full-strength rating assumes all of its key players are in the lineup. The Miami Heat held off the Atlanta Hawks 115-105 in Game 2 of their Eastern Conference first-round series Tuesday night. These are combined with up-to-date depth charts - tracking injuries, trades, changes in playing time and other player transactions - to generate talent estimates for each team. ![]() Our player-based RAPTOR forecast doesn’t account for wins and losses it is based entirely on our NBA player projections, which estimate each player’s future performance based on the trajectory of similar NBA players. How this works: These forecasts are based on 50,000 simulations of the rest of the season. ![]()
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